MENÜ MENÜ
  • Sie verwenden einen veralteten Webbrowser, weshalb es zu Problemen mit der Darstellung kommen kann. Bei Problemen mit der Bestellabgabe können Sie gerne auch telefonisch bestellen unter: 01805 565554 (0,14€/min, mobil max.0,42€/min)

Forecasting World Trade

Skriner:Forecasting World Trade
Autor: Edith Skriner
Verfügbarkeit: Auf Lager.
Artikelnummer: 549252
ISBN / EAN: 9783838103747

Verfügbarkeit: sofort lieferbar

53,90
Inkl. MwSt. , zzgl. Versandkosten

Produktbeschreibung

As economies become more open to international trade, also the transmission and propagation of economic fluctuations increases. In particular small and open economies are strongly exposed to fluctuations in the global business cycle. Hence, the cyclical dynamics of international trade have implications in macroeconomic forecasting and international politics. The analysis on income and growth shows that global trade is an important factor for sustainable development. This was the motivation to find an econometric model that is capable to track the growth path of world trade. Several univariate processes and multivariate systems have been tested for their fitness. The selected determinants of multivariate systems are based on theory, which suggests that investment activities and monetary policy influence the development of the global business cycle. The oil price and other raw material prices also play a key role in the economic development. The econometric analysis illustrates the close relationship of these determinants. While autoregessive processes are sufficient in short-term forecasting, multivariate systems are superior in forecasting longer time horizons.

Zusatzinformation

Autor Verlag Südwestdeutscher Verlag für Hochschulschriften
ISBN / EAN 9783838103747 Bindung Taschenbuch

Sie könnten auch an folgenden Produkten interessiert sein

Titelliste

0 Kundenmeinungen

Bitte schreiben Sie uns Ihre Meinung zu: Forecasting World Trade